Match Info

European Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4
World	PDC TV


	Wessel Nijman		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.66	Watch
	1.99	1.73
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wessel Nijman
45.7%

Michael Van Gerwen
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Wessel Nijman - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijman (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 36. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Van Gerwen will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nijman won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 3.5:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wessel Nijman
Darts
19.10.25	Jermaine Wattimena - Wessel Nijman	6:2 ✺
18.10.25	Mike De Decker - Wessel Nijman	2:6 ✺
17.10.25	Wessel Nijman - Martin Kramer	6:2 ✺
06.10.25	Robert Cross - Wessel Nijman	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wessel Nijman - Ritchie Edhouse	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
07.10.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	5:6 ✺
20.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Matthew Dennant	6:2 ✺
14.09.25	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	6:11 ✺
14.09.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	5:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.09.25	Wessel Nijman - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6
11.05.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman	6:2

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