Match Info

World Matchplay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)


	Nathan Aspinall		Joe Cullen

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.5
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.47	2.63
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.49	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.51)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
62%

Joe Cullen
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Joe Cullen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joe Cullen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen Predictions

Users Predictions: Nathan Aspinall will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 16. Cullen is ranked World Ranking: 31.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aspinall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aspinall is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 62:35. (average 7.8:4.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
12.07.26	Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski	4:6 ✺
12.07.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ross Smith	6:4 ✺
11.07.26	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Mansell	6:1 ✺
21.06.26	Robert Cross - Nathan Aspinall	6:2 ✺
21.06.26	Ryan Searle - Nathan Aspinall	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Joe Cullen
Darts
11.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	6:2 ✺
10.07.26	Joe Cullen - Charlie Manby	6:4 ✺
20.06.26	Ross Smith - Joe Cullen	6:5 ✺
19.06.26	Joe Cullen - Peter Kelemen	6:3 ✺
30.05.26	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
05.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen	6:1
22.07.23	Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen	17:9
10.04.23	Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen	7:5
04.03.23	Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen	10:2
27.02.22	Joe Cullen - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 best of 11 legs
26.09.21	Joe Cullen - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 best of 11 legs
04.06.20	Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen	6:5 best of 11 legs

Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide