Match Info
Poland Darts Masters - Quarter-finalsDate: 5 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: PreZero Arena Gliwice (Gliwice)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox Sports MORE |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | ITV 4 |
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Nathan Aspinall |
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Luke Littler |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.4 |
|
1.33 |
|
 |
3.2 |
|
1.3 |
|
 |
3 |
|
1.31 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
|
1.36 |
|
 |
3.15 |
|
1.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(3.18) |
|
1.33 ↑
(1.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nathan Aspinall
29.5% | Luke Littler
70.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Luke Littler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-4.9%)Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aspinall (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6 
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Preview
Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 6. Littler is ranked World Ranking: 2.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 2.Aspinall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Littler has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Littler is a strong favorite. We predict that Littler will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:81. (average 3.9:5.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Darts | | | 28.06.25 | Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall | 4:6 | | 07.06.25 | Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall | 3:6 | | 22.05.25 | Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall | 6:4 | | 08.05.25 | Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler | 4:6 | | 01.05.25 | Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall | 6:5 | | 20.03.25 | Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall | 6:3 | | 27.02.25 | Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler | 2:6 |
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