Match Info

European Tour 13 - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: XPO Antwerp (Antwerp)


	Nathan Aspinall		Niko Springer

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.90
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.46	2.60
	1.37	2.94
	1.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
66%

Niko Springer
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Niko Springer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nathan Aspinall that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niko Springer than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niko Springer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nathan Aspinall - Niko Springer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 16. Springer is ranked World Ranking: 38.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aspinall might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Nathan Aspinall - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
05.09.26	Nathan Aspinall - Andrew Gilding	2:6 ✺
30.08.26	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	7:6 ✺
30.08.26	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
30.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
29.08.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ryan Joyce	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Niko Springer
Darts
11.09.26	Niko Springer - Jaimy Jacobs	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Luke Littler - Niko Springer	6:4 ✺
04.09.26	Niko Springer - Martin Homola	6:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ryan Searle - Niko Springer	6:4 ✺
28.08.26	Niko Springer - Maik Kuivenhoven	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

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