Match Info

World Matchplay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)


	Ross Smith		Kevin Doets

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	2.01	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.78
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
48.5%

Kevin Doets
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Kevin Doets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ross Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kevin Doets than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kevin Doets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ross Smith - Kevin Doets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:10

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 15. Doets is ranked World Ranking: 30.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Doets will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
12.07.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ross Smith	6:4 ✺
11.07.26	Ross Smith - Niels Zonneveld	6:1 ✺
21.06.26	Ross Smith - Wessel Nijman	6:7 ✺
21.06.26	Andrew Gilding - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
21.06.26	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW
- Kevin Doets
Darts
12.07.26	Sebastian Bialecki - Kevin Doets	6:4 ✺
11.07.26	Martin Schindler - Kevin Doets	3:6 ✺
10.07.26	Kevin Doets - Dominik Grüllich	6:4 ✺
07.07.26	Kevin Doets - Tytus Kanik	6:3 ✺
21.06.26	Robert Cross - Kevin Doets	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL

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