Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	M-Team		Josba Joensuu

	1	X	2
	2.16	5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 (2.16)	5 (5)	2.3 (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

M-Team
42.2%

Draw
18.2%

Josba Joensuu
39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

21.6%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for M-Team have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Josba Joensuu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for M-Team than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with M-Team that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Josba Joensuu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
01:36, Vallius N. (G), Naakka V. (A),
06:40, Paulaharju S. (G), Makinen A. (A),
08:51, Vallius N. (G), Korhonen E. (A),
10:49, Paulaharju S. (G), Makinen A. (A),
17:12, Heino S. (G), Makinen A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:26, Naakka F. (G), Hyrynkangas A. (A),
07:37, (Own goal),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
15:11, Paulaharju S. (G), Makinen A. (A),
18:18, Naakka F. (G), Piironen L. (A),
19:58, Mahlberg K. (G), Makinen A. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
2', (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, M-Team won 4.

M-Team has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Josba is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

M-Team may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, M-Team has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, M-Team won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 91:67. (average 5.4:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, M-Team won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:31. (average 5.4:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
5	M-Team	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	26:13	9
14	Josba	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	19:20	3

Last Results with these Odds

M-Team - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- M-Team Salibandy
Finnish Divari
07.01.26	M-Team - Koovee Tampere	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Karhut - M-Team	5:6 ✺
14.12.25	M-Team - Kirkkonummi Rangers	2:6 ✺
07.12.25	M-Team - SB Vantaa	6:7 OT ✺
30.11.25	M-Team - Pirkat	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLLW
- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
10.01.26	Pirkat - Josba Joensuu	6:5 OT ✺
14.12.25	Josba Joensuu - Tiikerit	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Josba Joensuu - Nibacos Kokkola	6:8 ✺
29.11.25	Nibacos Kokkola - Josba Joensuu	8:7 penalties ✺
23.11.25	Josba Joensuu - Loviisan Tor	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
18.10.25	Josba Joensuu - M-Team	7:4
17.11.24	M-Team - Josba Joensuu	8:5
20.10.24	Josba Joensuu - M-Team	5:6
10.03.24	M-Team - Josba Joensuu	6:5 penalties
18.11.23	Josba Joensuu - M-Team	5:7
26.02.23	Josba Joensuu - M-Team	3:5
16.10.22	M-Team - Josba Joensuu	5:4 OT

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