Match Info
Liga Nacional - Round 17Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday
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Alzira |
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Cartagena |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.8 |
6.4 |
1.37 |
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 |
4.73 |
6.60 |
1.36 |
Watch |
 |
4.78 |
6.4 |
1.36 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.77 ↑ (4.73) |
6.47 ↓ (6.6) |
1.36 (1.36) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alzira 19.1% | Draw 14.1% | Cartagena 66.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alzira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Alzira - Cartagena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
13. Pereira A. (G)
| 22. Chispi (G)
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11. Fernandez I.
| 10. Cortes F.
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9. Garcia P.
| 13. Mellado M.
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19. Marksi Y.
| 8. Tomaz F.
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4. Rubi
| 11. Waltinho
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| Substitutes |
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30. Arechaga J.
| 6. Alonso C.
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12. Braulio C.
| 7. Castejon G.
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14. Cola
| 1. Chemi (G)
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17. Darrieer Melo
| 23. Gil D.
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20. Dickson
| 9. Gonzalez P.
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88. Garcia A.
| 3. Juninho
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15. Lluch A. (G)
| 14. Motta G.
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10. Povea C.
| 20. Osamanmusa M.
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5. Quixere
| 33. Valdes Cerda D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', Rubi (G),
- 3', Mellado M. (G),
- 18', Rubi 🟨,
- 19', Garcia A. (G),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Gil D. (Own Goal),
- 25', Marksi Y. 🟨,
- 26', 🟨,
- 29', Osamanmusa M. (G),
Preview
Alzira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Cartagena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Alzira has had a series of away games.Recently, Cartagena has had a series of home games. In this match, Cartagena is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alzira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 2.4:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Alzira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 2:4.3).
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 12 | Cartagena | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:19 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;