Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Futsal Champions League - Elite Stage

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Cartagena (Cartagena)


	Cartagena		Riga FC

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.5	3.75
	1.53	5.8	3.95
	1.5	5.8	3.8
	1.43	5.69	4.54
	1.53	5.8	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	5.72 (5.72)	4 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
61.1%

Draw
16%

Riga FC
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

16%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Riga FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga FC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Cartagena - Riga FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chemi (G)	29. Vandeson (G)
17. Castejon G.	5. Felix R.
23. Gil D.	77. Saiotti S. (C)
9. Gonzalez P.	14. Serginho
8. Tomaz F.	3. Vargas D.
Substitutes
22. Chispi (G)	90. Daniel Airoso
10. Hernandez F.	21. Fogels D.
19. Izquierdo J. (C)	9. Guilhermao
7. Linhares	8. Kulepovs V.
13. Mellado M.	10. Kuzmin D.
14. Motta G.	23. Labuds I. (G)
93. Mouhoudine S.	2. Rimkus V.
20. Osamanmusa M.	37. Thalles
11. Waltinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', Thalles (G),
9', Gonzalez P. (G),
10', Mouhoudine S. 🟨,
15', Osamanmusa M. 🟨,
16', Castejon G. (G),
17', Motta G. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
22', Felix R. 🟨,
32', Saiotti S. 🟨,
33', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
33', Daniel Airoso 🟨,
33', Gil D. 🟨,
33', Vandeson 🟨,
34', Mellado M. (G), Gil D. (A),

Preview

Cartagena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Riga FC in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Riga FC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Cartagena is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cartagena to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Futsal Cartagena
UEFA Futsal Champions League
27.11.24	Catania - Cartagena	1:8 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
23.11.24	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Noia - Cartagena	0:5 ✺
15.11.24	Xota - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
12.11.24	Palma Futsal - Cartagena	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTL
- Riga FC Futsal
UEFA Futsal Champions League
27.11.24	United Galați - Riga FC	0:6 ✺
Latvian Virsliga Futsal
23.11.24	Nīca - Riga FC	1:9 ✺
16.11.24	Riga FC - Futbola Parks Academy	19:1 ✺
10.11.24	Daugavpils FS - Riga FC	0:6 ✺
02.11.24	Ludza - Riga FC	1:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Cartagena - Riga FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide