Match Info

Copa del Rey - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Cartagena		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.33	2.88
	1.67	4.3	3.85
	2.39	4.04	2.44	Watch
	1.61	4.85	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.61)	4.38 ↓ (4.72)	3.21 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
49.7%

Draw
21.3%

Valdepeñas
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

19.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

19.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cartagena - Valdepeñas Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chispi (G)	1. Puerta B. (G)
7. Castejon G.	7. Carrasco
10. Cortes F.	6. Garcia A.
8. Tomaz F.	61. Mateus Torres
11. Waltinho	16. Naranjo A.
Substitutes
16. Alcala Carreno F. (G)	10. Alex
23. Gil D.	18. Joao
9. Gonzalez P.	2. Jose Mario
19. Izquierdo J. (C)	27. Lucas Cezar
3. Juninho	9. Nicolas M.
5. Lucas Farias	25. Pato (G)
13. Mellado M.	30. Ribeiro
14. Motta G.	15. Sinesio
20. Osamanmusa M.	19. Yanez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Nicolas M. (G),
11', Gil D. (G),
20', Mellado M. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
26', Juninho (G),
29', Motta G. (G),
30', Tomaz F. (G),
35', Pato (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 3.

Cartagena is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valdepeñas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cartagena is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cartagena will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 45:47. (average 2.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Valdepeñas - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 24.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Futsal Cartagena
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
16.05.26	Ribera Navarra - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
UEFA Futsal Champions League
10.05.26	Cartagena - Étoile Lavalloise	4:3 penalties ✺
08.05.26	Cartagena - Sporting Lisbon	3:4 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
02.05.26	Manzanares - Cartagena	4:4 ✺
28.04.26	Cartagena - O Parrulo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTW
- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
16.05.26	Palma Futsal - Valdepeñas	7:2 ✺
09.05.26	Valdepeñas - Inter	5:4 ✺
02.05.26	Córdoba - Valdepeñas	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Valdepeñas - Barcelona Alusport	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	ElPozo Murcia - Valdepeñas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
31.03.26	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	0:2
19.11.25	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	3:4
28.03.25	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	2:1
11.10.24	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	1:2
11.05.24	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	6:6
09.12.23	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	3:1
22.04.23	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	5:2

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