Match Info
Liga Nacional - Round 27Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday
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Cartagena |
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O Parrulo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.36 |
6.4 |
5 |
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 |
1.38 |
5.76 |
5.14 |
Watch |
 |
1.22 |
6.5 |
7.85 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.38) |
6.22 ↑ (5.76) |
6 ↑ (5.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cartagena 69.8% | Draw 14.8% | O Parrulo 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)O Parrulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for O Parrulo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Cartagena - O Parrulo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Chemi (G)
| 25. Starna M. (G)
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7. Castejon G.
| 11. Diogo
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23. Gil D.
| 12. Jhoy
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9. Gonzalez P.
| 96. Malaguti
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8. Tomaz F.
| 6. Novoa
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| Substitutes |
|---|
6. Alonso C.
| 13. Azevedo B.
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22. Chispi (G)
| 28. Caio (G)
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30. Gines G. (G)
| 10. Morgato
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19. Izquierdo J. (C)
| 19. Orzaez R.
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5. Lucas Farias
| 77. Penezio
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13. Mellado M.
| 5. Rumbo I. (C)
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14. Motta G.
| 9. Vasallo G.
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20. Osamanmusa M.
| 21. Vukmir N.
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11. Waltinho
| |
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 9', Gil D. 🟨,
- 14', Osamanmusa M. (G),
- 16', Orzaez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 22', Gonzalez P. (G),
- 26', Izquierdo J. 🟨,
- 30', Novoa (G),
- 31', Waltinho (G),
- 32', Osamanmusa M. (G),
- 36', Jhoy (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.O Parrulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Cartagena is the obvious favorite.We predict that Cartagena will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:17. (average 3.9:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 4.8:1.3).
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | O Parrulo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19:25 | 8 |
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| 12 | Cartagena | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:19 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;