Cartagena - Sporting Lisbon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • UEFA Futsal Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Date: 8 May 2026, Friday
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, COSMOTE Sport 7
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
    portugalPortugalCanal 11, DAZN 1, Sporting TV
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
    Cartagena Sporting Lisbon
    Cartagena Sporting Lisbon
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.5 5 1.57
    Bwin 3.5 5 1.55
    betsson 4 4.7 1.58
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (3.55)
    4.84
    (4.75)
    1.57
    (1.64)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

    • The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Cartagena
    24%
    Draw
    18.7%
    Sporting Lisbon
    57.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    25.5% 19.1% 55.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    28.5% 21.3% 49.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainChemi (G)
    16. PortugalPaco B. (G)
    23. SpainGil D.
    29. ItalyMerlim A.
      9. SpainGonzalez P.
      4. PortugalPaco T.
    13. SpainMellado M.
      7. PortugalSantos D.
      8. SpainTomaz F.
      8. BrazilWesley Franca
    Substitutes
      7. SpainCastejon G.
    19. RussiaChishkala I.
    22. SpainChispi (G)
      1. PortugalGoncalo (G)
    10. SpainCortes F.
    44. PortugalMaior B.
    19. SpainIzquierdo J. (C)
      9. PortugalMatos J. (C)
      3. BrazilJuninho
    10. PortugalPauleta
    14. ItalyMotta G.
    25. PortugalPinto B.
    20. ThailandOsamanmusa M.
    70. BrazilRocha
    11. BrazilWaltinho
    14. BrazilValerio F.
      6. PortugalZicky Te

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 0)
    • 12', Waltinho (G), Tomaz F. (A),
    • 16', Valerio F. 🟨,
    • 18', Cortes F. (G), Castejon G. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 22', Zicky Te (G), Santos D. (A),
    • 25', Valerio F. (G), Wesley Franca (A),
    • 40', Tomaz F. 🟨,
    • 40', 🟨,
    • Extra Time (1 - 1)
    • 43', Paco T. (G),
    • 44', Castejon G. (G),
    • 47', Juninho 🟨,
    • 49', Wesley Franca 🟨,
    • 49', Waltinho 🟨,
    • Penalties (5 - 6)
    • 1, Waltinho (Pen),
    • 1, Pinto B. (Pen),
    • 2, Gil D. (Pen),
    • 2, Rocha (Pen),
    • 3, Gonzalez P. (Pen),
    • 3, Paco T. (Pen),
    • 4, Tomaz F. (Pen),
    • 4, Santos D. (Pen),
    • 5, Juninho (Pen),
    • 5, Merlim A. (Pen),
    • 6, Osamanmusa M. (Pen),
    • 6, Valerio F. (Pen),

    Preview

  • Cartagena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Sporting's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Sporting is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
  • Including home match between the teams, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Futsal Cartagena
    Spanish Primera Division Futsal
    02.05.26 Manzanares - Cartagena 4:4
    28.04.26 Cartagena - O Parrulo 4:2
    25.04.26 Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena 4:2
    21.04.26 Cartagena - Santa Coloma 7:3
    18.04.26 Cartagena - Palma Futsal 5:4
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6
    TWLWW
    - Sporting Lisbon Futsal
    Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
    02.05.26 Leões - Sporting Lisbon 2:5
    Taca de Portugal Futsal
    26.04.26 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 5:6
    22.04.26 Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão 11:1
    Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
    17.04.26 Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão 2:10
    01.04.26 Fundão - Sporting Lisbon 1:7
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2
    WLWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Futsal Champions League
    04.05.25 Cartagena - Sporting Lisbon 3:2 penalties