Match Info

SuperLiga

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Fakel-GTS Surgut		TTG-Yugra Yugorsk

	1	X	2
	4.42	5.05	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.96)	5.05 ↑ (4.95)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel-GTS Surgut
20.6%

Draw
18%

TTG-Yugra Yugorsk
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

18.4%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

24.6%

78.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

TTG-Yugra Yugorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TTG-Yugra Yugorsk than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TTG-Yugra Yugorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fakel GTS Surgut - TTG Yugra Yugorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', Karpiuk D. (G), Raikhel A. (A),
12', Emelyanov M. (G),
12', Rubtsov A. (G), Merlushkin V. (A),
19', Karpiuk D. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 3)
22', Safin T. (Own Goal),
23', Karpov P. (G), Rubtsov A. (A),
31', Emelyanov M. (G),
37', Emelyanov M. (G),
38', Emelyanov M. (G),
39', Karpov P. (G),

Preview

Fakel-GTS is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

TTG-Yugra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, TTG-Yugra has had a series of away games.

In this match, TTG-Yugra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 2:5.3).

Including home match between the teams, Fakel-GTS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Yugra	14	12	0	1	1	75:28	37
7	Surgut	14	5	2	1	6	40:49	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel-GTS Surgut
Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.03.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
08.03.26	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:6 ✺
01.03.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	5:4 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.2 WLWWW
- TTG-Yugra Yugorsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.03.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
08.03.26	IrAero Irkutsk - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	IrAero Irkutsk - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	1:2 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.03.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	4:3 penalties
12.10.25	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:2 penalties
11.10.25	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:1
Russian Cup Futsal
28.01.15	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	10:1

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