Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Manzanares		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.8	2.9
	1.78	5.86	2.76	Watch
	1.86	4.6	2.89	Watch
	1.8	5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	5.07 ↓ (5.13)	2.84 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manzanares
49.9%

Draw
18%

Castell de Peñiscola
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

17.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.9%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manzanares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manzanares than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manzanares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castell de Peñiscola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Navarro A. (G)	12. Gonzalez G. (G)
7. Alonso J.	6. Flores L.
4. Escribano T.	4. Pardo C.
9. Garcia D. (C)	49. Rocha L.
8. Robles P.	11. Saladie C.
Substitutes
10. Antonito	16. Araya B.
20. Avendano A. C.	18. Elias (C)
18. Bule Javi (G)	7. Ferreira M.
30. Campos R.	22. Gus (G)
19. Eloy D.	10. Juanico
23. Humberto	9. Juanqui
22. Khalid	19. Munoz P.
11. Lopez A.	14. Perez V.
21. Pires D.	20. Sancho D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 3)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Peñiscola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Manzanares is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manzanares won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 4:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Manzanares won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:11. (average 3.5:5.5).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Manzanares FS	5	3	1	1	26:14	10
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manzanares FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
07.01.26	Palma Futsal - Manzanares	8:4 ✺
27.12.25	Manzanares - Valdepeñas	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Cartagena - Manzanares	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Manzanares	8:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
07.12.25	Manzanares - O Parrulo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
07.01.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira	6:5 ✺
Spanish Supercopa Futsal
03.01.26	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	4:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	Inter - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Córdoba	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
26.10.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	5:6
15.02.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	3:1
11.10.24	Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola	4:8
25.02.24	Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3
14.10.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	5:6

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