Match Info

SuperLiga

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Norilsk		Sinara Ekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	1.47	5.10	4.46	Watch
	1.47	5.20	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	5.15 ↑ (4.88)	4.43 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
61.8%

Draw
17.6%

Sinara Ekaterinburg
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

18.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

19%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sinara Ekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sinara Ekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+4%)

Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Kudziev R. (G), Antoshkin A. (A),
7', Suvorov I. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
24', Bessonov V. (G),
35', Onoprienko T. (G),
39', Kudziev R. (G),
40', Paradynski (G), Gibadullin I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Norilsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sinara has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Norilsk is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Norilsk in today's match, at odds of 1.56.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:59 (averaging 3.7:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 49:33 goals (averaging 4.5:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Norilsk	14	7	1	1	5	54:52	24
6	Yekaterinburg	12	6	1	0	5	34:36	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Norilsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
03.10.26	Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg	2:3 ✺
27.09.26	KPRF - Norilsk	4:3 penalties ✺
26.09.26	KPRF - Norilsk	4:5 ✺
20.09.26	Norilsk - Kristall	4:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Norilsk - Kristall	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- MFK Sinara Ekaterinburg
Russian Super Liga Futsal
03.10.26	Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg	2:3 ✺
18.09.26	Sinara Ekaterinburg - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	3:6 ✺
17.09.26	Sinara Ekaterinburg - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	1:5 ✺
13.09.26	Sinara Ekaterinburg - Sibiryak	6:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sinara Ekaterinburg - Sibiryak	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
03.10.26	Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg	2:3
28.03.26	Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg	3:4 penalties
27.03.26	Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg	2:3 penalties
02.11.25	Sinara Ekaterinburg - Norilsk	3:4
01.11.25	Sinara Ekaterinburg - Norilsk	2:5
29.05.25	Norilsk - Sinara Ekaterinburg	6:3
26.03.25	Sinara Ekaterinburg - Norilsk	4:3

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