The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KPRF 40.1%
Draw 20.1%
Norilsk 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
19.2%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
77.3%
30%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KPRF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KPRF's form might have worsened.
Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norilsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPRF than the current prediction. (+37.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KPRF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KPRF - Norilsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Leifeld V. (G), Suvorov I. (A),
16', Shakirov R. (G), Babin D. S. (A),
20', Niyazov (G), Muzhdakov A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
32', Bessonov V. (G), Suvorov I. (A),
33', Zaitsev D. (G), Muzhdakov A. (A),
34', Muzhdakov A. (G),
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Babin D. S. (Pen),
1, Guilherme J. (Pen),
2, Suvorov I. (Pen),
2, Shimbinha (Pen),
3, Gibadullin I. (Pen),
3, Niyazov (Pen),
4, Grebenschikov A. (Pen),
4, Muzhdakov A. (Pen),
5, Antoshkin A. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KPRF won 4.
KPRF has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Norilsk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
KPRF may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
KPRF is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KPRF has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:51 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KPRF against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 39:27 goals (averaging 3.5:2.5 per game).
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