Match Info

SuperLiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Norilsk		Ukhta

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.65	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)	4.65 (4.65)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
37.4%

Draw
19.7%

Ukhta
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

19.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

23%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ukhta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ukhta than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ukhta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', Kudziev R. (G),
6', Davidov D. (G), Abramovich S. (A),
18', Antoshkin A. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
25', Pavlov A. (G), Moskalev M. (A),
30', Lyalin A. (G), Jhonnas (A),
35', Prudnikov D. (G),
39', Denisov S. (G),
39', Paradynski (G),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Kudziev R. (Pen),
1, Paradynski (Pen),
2, Gibadullin I. (Pen),
2, Denisov S. (Pen),
3, Sanosyan V. (Pen),
3, Khusainov D. (Pen),
4, Abramovich S. (Pen),
4, Guitta (Pen),
5, Antoshkin A. (Pen),
5, Musatov A. (Pen),
6, Lyalin A. (Pen),
6, Moskalev M. (Pen),

Preview

Ukhta leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsky Nickel won 2.

Norilsky Nickel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ukhta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norilsky Nickel won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 85:92. (average 4.3:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsky Nickel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:39. (average 4.8:4.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Norilsk	14	7	1	1	5	54:52	24

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ukhta - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Norilsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
20.05.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	4:5 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3 ✺
15.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3 ✺
11.05.26	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Norilsk	3:4 ✺
07.05.26	Norilsk - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL
- MFK Ukhta
Russian Super Liga Futsal
20.05.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	4:5 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3 ✺
15.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3 ✺
11.05.26	Ukhta - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	7:2 ✺
07.05.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Ukhta	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
20.05.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	4:5 penalties
16.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3
15.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3
Russian Cup Futsal
20.01.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	8:3
Russian Super Liga Futsal
16.01.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	7:3
15.01.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	2:3
Russian Cup Futsal
06.01.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	2:2

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