Match Info
Liga Nacional - Round 16Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday
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O Parrulo |
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Jaén Paraíso Interior |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.75 |
4.7 |
1.96 |
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2.65 |
5.34 |
1.88 |
Watch |
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2.72 |
4.55 |
1.95 |
Watch |
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2.62 |
5 |
1.88 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.65) |
4.9 ↓ (5.34) |
1.92 ↑ (1.88) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
O Parrulo 33.9% | Draw 18.6% | Jaén Paraíso Interior 47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
O Parrulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Jaén Paraíso Interior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for O Parrulo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (-3.2%) 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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25. Starna M. (G)
| 1. Espindola C. (G)
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11. Diogo
| 14. Brandi A. (C)
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6. Novoa
| 17. Bynho
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9. Vasallo G.
| 21. Michel
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21. Vukmir N.
| 3. Raggiati A.
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| Substitutes |
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15. Barcon Lage D. (G)
| 28. Dudu (G)
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12. Jhoy
| 4. Esteban
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8. Jon
| 15. Lemine A.
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96. Malaguti
| 33. Mareco J.
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10. Morgato
| 8. Rikelme
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19. Orzaez R.
| 10. Rojas E.
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77. Penezio
| 41. Rosa M.
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5. Rumbo I. (C)
| 5. Salla J.
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14. Turbi
| 6. Zurdo D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 3)
- 2', Salla J. (G),
- 2', Penezio (G),
- 3', Vasallo G. (G),
- 5', Raggiati A. (Own Goal),
- 7', Rosa M. (G),
- 8', Raggiati A. 🟨,
- 8', Novoa (G),
- 14', Vasallo G. 🟨,
- 15', Vasallo G. 🟨,
- 17', Zurdo D. (G),
- 17', Zurdo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 24', Rojas E. (G),
- 29', Novoa 🟨,
- 29', Vukmir N. 🟨,
- 31', Mareco J. 🟨,
- 40', Salla J. (G),
- 40', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 0.O Parrulo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Jaén is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). Jaén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 2.7:3.8).Including home matches between the teams, O Parrulo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 3.2:3.2).
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Jaen | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 | 15 |
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| 7 | O Parrulo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19:25 | 8 |
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Last Results with these Odds
O Parrulo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Jaén Paraíso Interior - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;