Match Info
Liga Nacional - Round 28Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday
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O Parrulo |
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Noia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
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2.3 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
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2.26 |
4.73 |
2.26 |
Watch |
 |
2.31 |
4.33 |
2.23 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↓ (2.3) |
4.44 ↑ (4.35) |
2.25 ↓ (2.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
O Parrulo 39.8% | Draw 20.2% | Noia 40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
O Parrulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for O Parrulo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with O Parrulo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
28. Caio (G)
| 25. Schutt (G)
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12. Jhoy
| 31. Churrasco
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96. Malaguti
| 18. Douglas S.
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6. Novoa
| 24. Lopez I.
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77. Penezio
| 23. Thierry
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| Substitutes |
|---|
13. Azevedo B.
| 16. Biel
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11. Diogo
| 19. Blanco Cuello N.
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10. Morgato
| 3. Guilherme Lima
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19. Orzaez R.
| 26. Ivan (G)
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5. Rumbo I. (C)
| 13. Koeman
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2. Salgueiro B. (G)
| 5. Montero D.
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25. Starna M. (G)
| 6. Monteros I.
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9. Vasallo G.
| 20. Pazos D. (C)
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21. Vukmir N.
| |
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.O Parrulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 2:6).Including home match between the teams, O Parrulo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | O Parrulo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 8 | Noia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:11 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;