Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Ribera Navarra		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	3.35	5.2	1.67
	3.25	5.30	1.67	Watch
	3.36	5.1	1.65	Watch
	3.25	5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	5.15 ↓ (5.3)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribera Navarra
27.6%

Draw
17.7%

Castell de Peñiscola
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

17.2%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

19%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribera Navarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribera Navarra than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castell de Peñiscola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ribera Navarra - Castell de Peñiscola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Jimenez R. (G)	22. Gus (G)
20. Chino	18. Elias
99. Fabinho	9. Juanqui
2. Garcia D.	19. Munoz P.
6. Joao Batista	5. Plaza A.
Substitutes
11. Lahuerta A.	16. Araya B.
1. Lopez P. (G)	28. Cervera A.
96. Malaguti	7. Ferreira M.
5. Mykytiuk M.	6. Flores L.
21. Otero P.	12. Gonzalez G. (G)
10. Sepe	10. Juanico
14. Terry	4. Pardo C.
	14. Perez V.
	49. Rocha L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', Terry (G),
12', Terry (G),
18', Fabinho (G),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
21', (G),
25', Perez V. (G),
34', (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ribera Navarra won 2.

Ribera Navarra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peñiscola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ribera Navarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peñiscola is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ribera Navarra won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:58. (average 3.1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ribera Navarra won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:21. (average 3.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ribera Navarra FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
30.11.25	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ribera Navarra - O Parrulo	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
19.11.25	Pinatar - Ribera Navarra	2:6 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	ElPozo Murcia - Ribera Navarra	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Ribera Navarra - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	7:3 ✺
22.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
18.11.25	Avanza Jaén - Castell de Peñiscola	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
24.05.25	Ribera Navarra - Castell de Peñiscola	3:4
07.12.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Ribera Navarra	9:1
23.12.23	Ribera Navarra - Castell de Peñiscola	4:2
02.09.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Ribera Navarra	8:2
06.02.21	Ribera Navarra - Castell de Peñiscola	6:1
10.10.20	Castell de Peñiscola - Ribera Navarra	4:2
25.01.20	Ribera Navarra - Castell de Peñiscola	5:3

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