Match Info

SuperLiga

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ukhta		Fakel-GTS Surgut

	1	X	2
	1.45	5.5	4.37	Watch
	1.35	5.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	5.63 ↑ (5.25)	4.49 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukhta
64.1%

Draw
15.9%

Fakel-GTS Surgut
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

17.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

21.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukhta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ukhta than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ukhta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel-GTS Surgut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ukhta - Fakel GTS Surgut Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Fakel-GTS (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fakel-GTS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 4)
1', Safin T. (G), Tokhtarov D. (A),
3', Denisov S. (G),
9', Suvorov I. (G), Pavlov A. (A),
10', Karpyuk D. (Pen),
10', Pedal De Paula L. (G), Denisov S. (A),
13', Emelyanov N. (G),
13', Moskalev M. (G), Pavlov A. (A),
17', Emelyanov N. (G), Karpyuk D. (A),
2nd Half (6 - 2)
21', Moskalev M. (G), Pavlov A. (A),
23', Moskalev M. (G),
25', Paradynski (G),
28', Moskalev M. (G),
31', Paradynski (Pen),
36', Pavlov A. (G), Paradynski (A),
36', Karpyuk D. (G), Safin T. (A),
39', Kvaratskhelia D. (G), Tokhtarov D. (A),

Preview

Ukhta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fakel-GTS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ukhta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fakel-GTS has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ukhta is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ukhta will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ukhta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 4.7:4).

Including home match between the teams, Ukhta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Surgut	14	5	2	1	6	40:49	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Ukhta
Russian Super Liga Futsal
10.01.26	Ukhta - Fakel-GTS Surgut	6:5 penalties ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
06.01.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	2:2 ✺
Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.12.25	IrAero Irkutsk - Ukhta	5:6 ✺
13.12.25	IrAero Irkutsk - Ukhta	4:3 ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
09.12.25	Kristall - Ukhta	6:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW
- Fakel-GTS Surgut
Russian Super Liga Futsal
10.01.26	Ukhta - Fakel-GTS Surgut	6:5 penalties ✺
14.12.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - KPRF	3:2 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - KPRF	2:7 ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
09.12.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	3:4 ✺
Russian Super Liga Futsal
05.12.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - LKS Lipetsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
10.01.26	Ukhta - Fakel-GTS Surgut	6:5 penalties
31.08.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Ukhta	2:5
30.08.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Ukhta	5:3

Ukhta - Fakel-GTS Surgut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide