Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	BM Ciudad Encantada		Gorenje Velenje

	1	X	2
	3	8	1.52	Watch
	2.8	9.25	1.62
	3.08	8.4	1.57
	2.75	8	1.57
	2.85	8.4	1.65
	2.95	8.2	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (1.95)	8.38 ↑ (7.81)	1.59 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BM Ciudad Encantada
31.5%

Draw
10.9%

Gorenje Velenje
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

11.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

11.8%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BM Ciudad Encantada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BM Ciudad Encantada's form might have worsened.

Gorenje Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorenje Velenje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Ciudad Encantada than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BM Ciudad Encantada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorenje Velenje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gorenje will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorenje: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

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Preview

Recent matches Ciudad Encantada is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gorenje Velenje is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ciudad Encantada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gorenje Velenje will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ciudad Encantada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Ciudad Encantada
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.11.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - BM Huesca	25:27 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:20 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.11.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Ciudad Encantada	30:25 ✺
08.11.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - Morrazo Cangas	33:28 ✺
28.10.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Ciudad Encantada	30:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
18.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - Krka	31:20 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:20 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.11.23	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	25:25 ✺
28.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - Dobova	36:24 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Sävehof - Gorenje Velenje	36:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
14.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:20

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