Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Bergischer		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	4.75	10	1.32
	5.75	9	1.25
	4.2	11	1.3
	4.94	8.4	1.3	Watch
	4.33	9.5	1.29
	4.36	10.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (5.43)	9.73 ↓ (11.82)	1.3 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
19.5%

Draw
9.5%

THW Kiel
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

7.7%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bergischer - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:33

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Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 0.

In recent matches, Bergischer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kiel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bergischer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kiel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 20 matches, and goals 512:636. (average 25.6:31.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergischer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 251:302. (average 25.1:30.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Kiel	8	6	1	1	246:228	13
16	Bergischer	7	1	0	6	197:223	2

Last Results with these Odds

THW Kiel - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 75.46%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German Bundesliga Handball
08.05.26	GWD Minden - Bergischer	28:28 ✺
02.05.26	Bergischer - Hannover-Burgdorf	30:29 ✺
26.04.26	HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer	33:29 ✺
German DHB Pokal
19.04.26	Füchse Berlin - Bergischer	42:33 ✺
18.04.26	Bergischer - Magdeburg	31:30 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 TWLLW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
10.05.26	THW Kiel - Füchse Berlin	28:35 ✺
EHF European League
05.05.26	THW Kiel - Nexe	34:29 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
02.05.26	HSG Wetzlar - THW Kiel	33:25 ✺
EHF European League
28.04.26	Nexe - THW Kiel	33:30 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.04.26	THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
09.11.25	THW Kiel - Bergischer	43:35
11.02.24	Bergischer - THW Kiel	25:29
03.12.23	THW Kiel - Bergischer	39:30
04.06.23	Bergischer - THW Kiel	25:29
11.09.22	THW Kiel - Bergischer	35:29
13.02.22	Bergischer - THW Kiel	24:26
11.11.21	THW Kiel - Bergischer	24:23

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