Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Burgos		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	2.85	30	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (1.51)	30 ↑ (8)	1.41 ↓ (3.26)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
32.1%

Draw
3%

Villa de Aranda
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

11.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

11.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa de Aranda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+28.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-37.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa de Aranda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 2.

Recent matches Burgos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa de Aranda is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Villa de Aranda is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Villa de Aranda to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 165-155.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 87-76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
25.05.24	Burgos - Cisne	32:20 ✺
18.05.24	Burgos - Atlético Novás	31:29 ✺
04.05.24	Oviedo - Burgos	30:22 ✺
28.04.24	Burgos - Quabit Guadalajara	26:27 ✺
20.04.24	Antequera - Burgos	37:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
25.05.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Villa de Aranda	20:21 ✺
18.05.24	Villa de Aranda - Eivissa	20:20 ✺
04.05.24	Alcobendas - Villa de Aranda	29:34 ✺
27.04.24	Villa de Aranda - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:21 ✺
20.04.24	Villa de Aranda - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
03.03.24	Burgos - Villa de Aranda	25:24
28.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	27:26
11.02.23	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	27:27
06.11.22	Burgos - Villa de Aranda	28:24
29.01.22	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	25:25
31.10.21	Burgos - Villa de Aranda	34:28

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