Match Info

HLA - Round 20

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Ferlach		Fivers Margareten

	1	X	2
	1.95	8	2.17
	2.01	6.88	2.19	Watch
	1.91	7.5	2.2
	1.89	8.6	2.23	Watch
	1.78	8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)	7.8 ↓ (8)	2.26 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferlach
47.9%

Draw
11.7%

Fivers Margareten
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

11.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

11.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fivers Margareten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fivers Margareten than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 2.

Ferlach is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fivers Margareten's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 564:627. (average 28.2:31.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferlach won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 291:305. (average 29.1:30.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Aon Fivers	5	4	0	1	183:158	8
2	Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150:137	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
28.03.26	Vöslauer - Ferlach	29:21 ✺
14.03.26	Ferlach - Bregenz	26:25 ✺
07.03.26	HSG Graz - Ferlach	32:29 ✺
04.03.26	Ferlach - Tirol	29:31 ✺
28.02.26	Krems - Ferlach	33:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Fivers WAT Margareten
Austrian OHB Cup
03.04.26	Fivers Margareten - Hollabrunn	37:41 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
27.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	26:28 ✺
14.03.26	Füchse - Fivers Margareten	32:30 ✺
07.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Bärnbach Köflach	36:28 ✺
04.03.26	Linz - Fivers Margareten	32:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
11.11.25	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	24:29
29.03.25	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	30:28
02.11.24	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	32:32
15.12.23	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	32:33
05.09.23	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	30:34
13.05.23	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	26:28
06.05.23	Fivers Margareten - Ferlach	25:23

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