Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Gorenje Velenje		Sävehof

	1	X	2
	1.47	8.5	3.2	Watch
	1.5	11	3.1
	1.5	9.61	3.23	Watch
	1.4	9	3.25
	1.51	8.9	3.32
	1.48	9.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	9.47 ↑ (8.78)	3.25 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
62.1%

Draw
9.7%

Sävehof
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

10.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

11.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sävehof has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorenje Velenje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sävehof than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Gorenje Velenje - Sävehof Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

Recent matches Gorenje Velenje is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sävehof is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sävehof could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gorenje Velenje is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gorenje Velenje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 93-98.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorenje Velenje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
02.12.23	Škofja Loka - Gorenje Velenje	24:33 ✺
EHF European League
28.11.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Gorenje Velenje	32:31 ✺
21.11.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje	28:27 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
18.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - Krka	31:20 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- IK Sävehof
EHF European League
28.11.23	Sävehof - BM Ciudad Encantada	40:27 ✺
Swedish Elitserien Handball
24.11.23	Hallby - Sävehof	30:34 ✺
EHF European League
21.11.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Sävehof	29:32 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball
17.11.23	Sävehof - Ystads IF	32:39 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Sävehof - Pfadi Winterthur	41:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
24.10.23	Sävehof - Gorenje Velenje	36:34
08.03.22	Sävehof - Gorenje Velenje	27:28
07.12.21	Gorenje Velenje - Sävehof	31:35

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