Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Pfadi Winterthur		Gorenje Velenje

	1	X	2
	1.95	8	2.2	Watch
	1.95	9	2.2
	1.96	8.3	2.22
	1.85	8	2.15
	1.98	8.1	2.24
	1.95	8	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	8.23 ↑ (8)	2.2 (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pfadi Winterthur
47.3%

Draw
11.1%

Gorenje Velenje
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

11.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

11.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pfadi Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pfadi Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Pfadi Winterthur - Gorenje Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Recent matches Pfadi Winterthur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gorenje Velenje is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pfadi Winterthur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pfadi Winterthur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 78-99.

Including matches at home between the teams Pfadi Winterthur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pfadi Winterthur
Swiss NLA Handball
25.11.23	Kreuzlingen - Pfadi Winterthur	24:26 ✺
EHF European League
21.11.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Sävehof	29:32 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
18.11.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Suhr Aarau	35:30 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Sävehof - Pfadi Winterthur	41:20 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
11.11.23	Wacker Thun - Pfadi Winterthur	31:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLT
- RK Gorenje Velenje
EHF European League
21.11.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje	28:27 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
18.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - Krka	31:20 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:20 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.11.23	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	25:25 ✺
28.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - Dobova	36:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
17.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - Pfadi Winterthur	34:26
08.03.15	Gorenje Velenje - Pfadi Winterthur	30:26
28.02.15	Pfadi Winterthur - Gorenje Velenje	26:35

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