Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	HSV Hamburg		Gummersbach

	1	X	2
	2.8	8	1.75
	2.65	8	1.67
	3.36	8.38	1.49	Watch
	2.67	9.5	1.64
	2.75	8.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.15)	8.48 ↑ (8.23)	1.65 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hamburg
32.7%

Draw
11%

Gummersbach
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

11.2%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

11.3%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSV Hamburg's form might have worsened.

Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gummersbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSV Hamburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gummersbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.

Hamburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gummersbach is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gummersbach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gummersbach could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Gummersbach will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 503:473. (average 27.9:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 247:226. (average 27.4:25.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
12.10.25	HSG Wetzlar - HSV Hamburg	25:35 ✺
05.10.25	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	29:30 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	47:46 OT ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
26.09.25	MT Melsungen - HSV Hamburg	32:28 ✺
19.09.25	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	35:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLT
- VfL Gummersbach
German Bundesliga Handball
12.10.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Gummersbach	24:36 ✺
09.10.25	Gummersbach - Erlangen	33:22 ✺
05.10.25	Eisenach - Gummersbach	32:29 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Hüttenberg - Gummersbach	21:32 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.09.25	Gummersbach - Stuttgart	33:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
27.02.25	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	30:37
03.11.24	Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg	33:29
21.04.24	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	33:32
07.12.23	Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg	24:23
27.12.22	Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg	31:30
23.10.22	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	34:31
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
03.03.21	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	29:22

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