Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	HSG Wetzlar		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	8	1.72
	2.55	8	1.7
	1.89	6.91	2.43	Watch
	2.43	9.4	1.75
	2.71	9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.51)	8.26 ↑ (7.73)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Wetzlar
38.1%

Draw
11.4%

HSV Hamburg
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

12.1%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

11.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Wetzlar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Wetzlar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

HSG Wetzlar - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 1.

Wetzlar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamburg has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wetzlar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hamburg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 405:425. (average 25.3:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wetzlar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 221:214. (average 24.6:23.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Wetzlar
German Bundesliga Handball
09.10.25	Bergischer - HSG Wetzlar	35:28 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Füchse Berlin - HSG Wetzlar	35:30 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
28.09.25	HSG Wetzlar - GWD Minden	39:28 ✺
20.09.25	Eisenach - HSG Wetzlar	29:28 ✺
14.09.25	HSG Wetzlar - TBV Lemgo	21:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
05.10.25	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	29:30 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	47:46 OT ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
26.09.25	MT Melsungen - HSV Hamburg	32:28 ✺
19.09.25	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	35:35 ✺
13.09.25	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	27:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
05.06.25	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	33:29
17.10.24	HSG Wetzlar - HSV Hamburg	31:26
23.03.24	HSG Wetzlar - HSV Hamburg	25:27
24.09.23	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	30:25
07.05.23	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	24:21
19.11.22	HSG Wetzlar - HSV Hamburg	28:30
20.02.22	HSG Wetzlar - HSV Hamburg	26:25

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