Match Info

HLA - Round 21

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Linz		Ferlach

	1	X	2
	1.42	9.6	3.4
	1.41	8.02	3.8	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.5
	1.47	9.3	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	8.86 ↑ (7.72)	3.52 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linz
63.8%

Draw
10.3%

Ferlach
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

11.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

12.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ferlach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linz than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Linz - Ferlach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linz won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Linz is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 585:601. (average 29.3:30.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Linz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 267:265. (average 29.7:29.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150:137	8
4	Linz	5	3	0	2	154:149	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Linz AG
Austrian NLA Handball
10.04.26	Alpla Hard - Linz	26:24 ✺
28.03.26	Linz - Füchse	27:31 ✺
14.03.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Linz	19:25 ✺
07.03.26	Linz - Hollabrunn	33:26 ✺
04.03.26	Linz - Fivers Margareten	32:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL
- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
11.04.26	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	33:31 ✺
28.03.26	Vöslauer - Ferlach	29:21 ✺
14.03.26	Ferlach - Bregenz	26:25 ✺
07.03.26	HSG Graz - Ferlach	32:29 ✺
04.03.26	Ferlach - Tirol	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
22.11.25	Ferlach - Linz	29:28
08.03.25	Ferlach - Linz	27:26
26.10.24	Linz - Ferlach	35:34
27.02.24	Linz - Ferlach	29:31
11.10.23	Ferlach - Linz	28:30
08.04.23	Ferlach - Linz	37:34
19.11.22	Linz - Ferlach	33:27

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