Match Info

Superliga - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Fight


	Stal Mielec		Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	2.45	8	1.76
	2.69	7.36	1.70	Watch
	2.43	9.2	1.77
	2.28	8.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.69)	8.27 ↑ (7.36)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
37%

Draw
11%

Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

12.4%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

12.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Stal Mielec - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ostrów Wielkopolski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ostrów Wielkopolski will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
15.11.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	38:24 ✺
07.11.25	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	27:26 ✺
26.10.25	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	29:30 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Mielec - Piotrkowianin Piotrków	32:34 penalties ✺
06.10.25	Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- KPR Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski
EHF European League
18.11.25	Montpellier HB - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	37:26 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
14.11.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legionowo	28:24 ✺
EHF European League
11.11.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Montpellier HB	25:38 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
08.11.25	Puławy - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	32:36 ✺
25.10.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Vive Kielce	24:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

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