Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3


	THW Kiel		GWD Minden

	1	X	2
	1.01	30	25
	1.01	20	17
				Watch
	1.01	27	17.5	Watch
	1.01	41	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	29.5 ↑ (28)	20.13 ↓ (25)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
92.2%

Draw
3.2%

GWD Minden
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.9%

3.4%

3.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

GWD Minden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

THW Kiel - GWD Minden Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Minden will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:26

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Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 5.

Kiel is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Minden's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kiel is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 19 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 658:505. (average 32.9:25.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiel won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 327:250. (average 32.7:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
21.09.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel	34:41 ✺
18.09.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	34:40 ✺
13.09.25	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	27:25 ✺
03.09.25	THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar	34:30 ✺
28.08.25	Erlangen - THW Kiel	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- GWD Minden
German Bundesliga Handball
19.09.25	GWD Minden - Gummersbach	23:31 ✺
13.09.25	Bergischer - GWD Minden	23:30 ✺
08.09.25	GWD Minden - Flensburg-Handewitt	27:40 ✺
03.09.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - GWD Minden	28:24 ✺
31.08.25	GWD Minden - Frisch Auf Göppingen	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
26.12.22	THW Kiel - GWD Minden	36:29
18.09.22	GWD Minden - THW Kiel	18:34
10.04.22	GWD Minden - THW Kiel	27:30
03.10.21	THW Kiel - GWD Minden	34:25
12.06.21	GWD Minden - THW Kiel	30:35
01.11.20	THW Kiel - GWD Minden	41:26
04.03.20	GWD Minden - THW Kiel	26:29

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