Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 18

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Varberg		Redbergslids

	1	X	2
	1.44	10	3.5
	1.39	8.12	3.89	Watch
	1.4	9	3.5
	1.41	9.7	3.66
	1.37	9.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	9.26 ↑ (9)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varberg
65%

Draw
9.8%

Redbergslids
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

10%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

9.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Redbergslids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varberg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Redbergslids than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Varberg - Redbergslids Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Varberg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 186:201. (average 26.6:28.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 79:87. (average 26.3:29).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Redbergslids	4	2	0	2	118:122	4
12	Varberg	3	0	1	2	87:96	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Varberg
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
18.01.26	IFK Ystad - Varberg	26:32 ✺
13.01.26	Varberg - Torslanda	28:27 ✺
30.12.25	Varberg - Lugi	25:33 ✺
26.12.25	Lugi - Varberg	26:23 ✺
17.12.25	Tumba - Varberg	28:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Redbergslids IK Handball
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
18.01.26	Redbergslids - H43 Lund	35:28 ✺
10.01.26	Tyresö - Redbergslids	38:37 ✺
06.01.26	Redbergslids - Aranäs	33:27 ✺
30.12.25	Redbergslids - Kroppskultur	28:32 ✺
19.12.25	Drott - Redbergslids	28:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
18.10.25	Redbergslids - Varberg	25:26
11.02.24	Redbergslids - Varberg	26:30
30.09.23	Varberg - Redbergslids	29:29
Swedish Elitserien Handball
22.02.21	Redbergslids - Varberg	33:19
01.10.20	Varberg - Redbergslids	26:30
14.03.20	Redbergslids - Varberg	30:32
08.10.19	Varberg - Redbergslids	24:28

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