Match Info

Liiga

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Isomäki Areena (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Ässät		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.25	2.85
	2.15	3.90	2.80
	2.25	3.85	2.95	Watch
	2.31	3.68	2.73
	2.17	3.96	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.7
	2.26	4.1	2.66	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	3.91 ↓ (3.95)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät
42.5%

Draw
23.9%

Kiekko-Espoo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

25.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ässät that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiekko-Espoo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Ässät - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)	35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
79. Nikkila P. (A)	8. Corcoran C.
61. Jurgens C.	51. Nakyva K.
48. Klingberg C. (A)	72. Svejkovsky L.
10. Hillis C.	24. Lajunen J. (A)
34. Doucet A.	76. Sallinen J. (C)
Line 2
37. Maatta R. (C)	47. Lajunen V. (A)
3. Anttalainen A.	3. Keskitalo M.
47. Pinard S.	12. Oberg L.
36. Bjorkqvist K.	15. King C.
18. Ylitalo O.	28. Hamalainen J.
Line 3
55. Riihinen P.	21. Peltomaki N.
80. Nurmi P.	55. Kotkansalo K.
8. Olofsson J.	77. From M.
14. Sebok B.	78. Tuomaala A.
63. Kostilainen S.	4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 4
7. Pulli J.	7. Jurmo J.
44. Skinnari A.	14. Keinanen J.
72. Ojantakanen K.	17. Talvitie A.
26. Kim A.	16. Vaisanen J.
Substitutes
33. Taponen R. (G)	25. Puolanne E.
	30. Rimpinen P. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.	. Aho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
02:03, Pulli J. (2 min),
03:06, Tuomaala A. (2 min),
10:28, Svejkovsky L. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:00, Peltomaki N. (2 min),
17:25, 1 - 0, Sebok B. (G), Maatta R. (A), Olofsson J. (A2)
19:28, 1 - 1, Corcoran C. (G), From M. (A), Kangasniemi I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:26, Kotkansalo K. (2 min),
07:13, 2 - 1, Olofsson J. (G), Bjorkqvist K. (A), Kim A. (A2)
10:32, Lajunen J. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 3.

Ässät is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kiekko-Espoo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kiekko-Espoo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ässät in today's match, at odds of 2.21.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Ässät has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:42 (averaging 2.3:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ässät against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 22:23 goals (averaging 3.1:3.3 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.95%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.39%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
15.09.26	Ässät - Vaasan Sport	5:1 ✺
09.09.26	Ässät - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ässät - Ilves	5:1 ✺
01.09.26	Kärpät - Ässät	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Ässät - Vaasan Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
15.09.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
09.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Växjö Lakers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
26.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	5:2
24.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1
23.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	2:5
21.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	1:2 OT
20.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 OT
10.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	0:4
14.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1

Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide