The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ässät 40.9%
Draw 24.3%
HIFK 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
25.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
26.3%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Ässät - HIFK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)
60. Alnefelt H. (G)
79. Nikkila P. (A)
27. Ahlroth J.
61. Jurgens C.
25. Nassen L.
47. Pinard S.
88. Huuhtanen N. (A)
10. Hillis C.
81. Pakarinen I. (C)
36. Bjorkqvist K.
71. Makiaho D.
Line 2
6. Prow E.
28. Pilo L.
37. Maatta R. (A)
33. Kiviharju A.
9. Lipiainen V.
93. Vanhatalo L.
74. Tiivola P. (C)
42. Sinivuori L.
34. Doucet A.
91. Ranta S.
Line 3
55. Riihinen P.
67. Puutio K.
80. Nurmi P.
11. Melart I.
8. Olofsson J.
54. Somervuori J.
92. Alasiurua A.
77. Leschyshyn J.
63. Kostilainen S.
72. Liukas E.
Line 4
26. Kim A.
19. Leppanen O.
19. Juhola P.
18. Uronen A.
18. Ylitalo O.
12. Joki A.
Substitutes
3. Anttalainen A.
30. Glifford O. (G)
7. Pulli J.
82. Karjalainen A.
33. Taponen R. (G)
83. Nemecek D.
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.
. Miettinen T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
07:28, Doucet A. (2 min),
11:11, 1 - 0, Tiivola P. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Jurgens C. (A2)
12:01, 1 - 1, Melart I. (G), Huuhtanen N. (A), Pakarinen I. (A2)
17:45, 2 - 1, Doucet A. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Lipiainen V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
00:33, Nikkila P. (2 min),
09:56, Puutio K. (2 min),
11:49, (2 min),
12:38, Hillis C. (2 min),
20:00, Liukas E. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:32, 3 - 1, Doucet A. (G), Hillis C. (A), Kostilainen S. (A2)
05:12, Lipiainen V. (2 min),
07:06, 3 - 2, Pakarinen I. (G), Huuhtanen N. (A), Kiviharju A. (A2)
16:22, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
Ässät is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
HIFK has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ässät could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ässät has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:57 (averaging 2.3:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ässät against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:24 goals (averaging 2.9:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Assat
19
9
1
2
7
44:47
31
13
IFK Helsinki
18
6
1
4
7
50:55
24
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
IFK Helsinki: 5.59%
Last Results with these Odds
Ässät - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.61%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.