Match Info

Liiga

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Isomäki Areena (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Ässät		HIFK

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.2	2.8
	2.12	3.95	3.05	Watch
	2.17	3.66	2.97
	2.12	3.79	3.04	Watch
	2.05	3.7	2.7
	2.14	4.1	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	3.9 ↓ (4.13)	2.9 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät
44%

Draw
23.9%

HIFK
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

22.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ässät - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 2 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)	73. Kohonen P. (G)
67. Puutio K. (A)	40. Lindbohm P.
37. Maatta R.	6. Sund T.
9. Lipiainen V.	43. Marleau V.
74. Tiivola P. (A)	77. Kodytek P.
78. Fabre D.	71. Makiaho D.
Line 2
8. Viljanen V.	33. Kiviharju A.
3. Anttalainen A.	11. Melart I. (A)
88. Olofsson J.	81. Pakarinen I. (C)
44. Jarvinen J. (C)	18. Uronen A.
47. Tammela J.	93. Vanhatalo L.
Line 3
55. Riihinen P.	90. Salmela S.
80. Nurmi P.	10. Ragnarsson J.
72. Josling S.	29. Repo S.
14. Sebok B.	21. Lehtera J. (A)
63. Kostilainen S.	52. Palmu P.
Line 4
23. Heinila E.	98. Larsen O.
86. Knihti F.	47. Ashbrook T.
19. Juhola P.	15. Somppi O.
92. Alasiurua A.	63. Mieho P.
Substitutes
39. Lindberg F. (G)	60. Alnefelt H. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.	. Jokinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:31, Maatta R. (2 min),
06:39, 0 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Salmela S. (A2)
15:52, 0 - 2, Pakarinen I. (G), Uronen A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:36, 0 - 3, Repo S. (G), Palmu P. (A),
08:33, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
11:09, 0 - 4, Pakarinen I. (G), Vanhatalo L. (A),
11:30, Palmu P. (2 min),
19:19, 1 - 4, Lipiainen V. (G), Maatta R. (A), Fabre D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
07:37, Lehtera J. (5 min),
13:53, Anttalainen A. (2 min),
17:21, Olofsson J. (2 min),
17:46, Riihinen P. (2 min),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.

Recent performances by Ässät have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HIFK is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ässät is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 47:54. (average 2.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 3:2.3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
14	IFK Helsinki	11	3	1	2	5	31:34	13

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.65%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
21.02.26	Ässät - Vaasan Sport	4:1 ✺
18.02.26	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Ässät - SaiPa	3:4 OT ✺
14.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	SaiPa - Ässät	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL
- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
27.02.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3 OT ✺
21.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	SaiPa - HIFK	5:3 ✺
13.02.26	HIFK - Lukko	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	JYP - HIFK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
03.12.25	HIFK - Ässät	4:2
01.11.25	HIFK - Ässät	3:0
18.10.25	Ässät - HIFK	5:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.25	HIFK - Ässät	1:2 penalties
Finnish SM-liiga
26.02.25	Ässät - HIFK	3:4 penalties
29.01.25	HIFK - Ässät	4:3 OT
21.12.24	Ässät - HIFK	4:2

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