Match Info
LiigaDate: 4 September 2026, FridayLocation: Isomäki Areena (Pori)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Ässät |
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Ilves |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.85 |
4.00 |
2.05 |
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2.85 |
4.00 |
2.10 |
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2.95 |
4.10 |
2.10 |
Watch |
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3.06 |
3.67 |
2.12 |
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3 |
3.95 |
2.1 |
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2.90 |
3.70 |
2.11 |
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2.91 |
4.10 |
2.11 |
Watch |
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2.85 |
3.85 |
2.08 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↓ (3.25) |
3.92 ↑ (3.6) |
2.1 ↑ (1.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ässät 31.9% | Draw 23.7% | Ilves 44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2%)Ässät - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Bednar J. (G)
| 65. Rifalk C. (G)
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79. Nikkila P.
| 27. Strand A.
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61. Jurgens C.
| 57. Parikka J.
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48. Klingberg C. (A)
| 29. Looke J.
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10. Hillis C.
| 9. Jasek L.
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34. Doucet A.
| 92. Henman L. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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37. Maatta R. (A)
| 43. Latvala O.
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3. Anttalainen A.
| 6. Sund T.
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47. Pinard S.
| 67. Haatanen A.
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74. Tiivola P. (C)
| 44. Jarvinen J. (C)
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36. Bjorkqvist K.
| 46. Torok M.
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| Line 3 |
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55. Riihinen P.
| 77. Loof L.
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80. Nurmi P.
| 28. Nyberg J.
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8. Olofsson J.
| 38. Teuho-Markkola T.
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19. Juhola P.
| 19. Lantta J.
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92. Alasiurua A.
| 71. Korhonen B.
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| Line 4 |
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7. Pulli J.
| 3. Utunen T.
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18. Ylitalo O.
| 15. Kos O.
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72. Ojantakanen K.
| 11. Borg E. (A)
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63. Kostilainen S.
| 22. Engberg T.
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| Substitutes |
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26. Kim A.
| 40. Armalis M. (G)
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33. Taponen R. (G)
| 86. Heikkinen I.
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| Coaches |
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. Pikkarainen J.
| . Niemela T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 04:43, Sund T. (2 min),
- 11:45, 1 - 0, Kostilainen S. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
- 15:51, Ojantakanen K. (2 min),
- 17:14, 2 - 0, Riihinen P. (G), Hillis C. (A),
- 18:17, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:26, Maatta R. (2 min),
- 08:08, Bjorkqvist K. (2 min),
- 14:20, 3 - 0, Riihinen P. (G), Doucet A. (A),
- 15:36, Lantta J. (2 min),
- 19:19, Loof L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:20, 4 - 0, Doucet A. (G), Nikkila P. (A), Klingberg C. (A2)
- 09:23, Hillis C. (2 min),
- 12:26, 5 - 0, Klingberg C. (G), Doucet A. (A),
- 17:05, 5 - 1, Henman L. (G), Engberg T. (A), Utunen T. (A2)
- 19:43, Sund T. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 3.Recent performances by Ässät have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Ilves is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ilves could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 43:49. (average 2.2:2.5).Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 2.6:2.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 36:24 | 26 |
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| 3 | Assat | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 30:27 | 22 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.61%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 17.01.26 | Ilves - Ässät | 5:1 | | 16.01.26 | Ässät - Ilves | 2:1 | | 05.12.25 | Ässät - Ilves | 3:4 penalties | | 26.09.25 | Ilves - Ässät | 2:3 | | 04.01.25 | Ässät - Ilves | 2:1 | | 03.01.25 | Ilves - Ässät | 3:1 | | 06.10.24 | Ilves - Ässät | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;