The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ässät 25.7%
Draw 21.9%
Tappara 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
22.7%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
23.9%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ässät's form might have worsened.
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tappara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ässät - Tappara Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tappara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
#ad
Lineups
Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)
30. Heljanko C. (G)
37. Maatta R. (A)
21. Matinmikko A.
25. Boelius L.
23. Jokipakka J.
9. Lipiainen V.
11. Simontaival K.
74. Tiivola P. (A)
20. Keskinen O.
93. Vanhatalo L.
27. Tanus K.
Line 2
55. Riihinen P.
5. Rasanen I.
3. Anttalainen A.
26. Mattila Je.
88. Olofsson J.
88. Blichfeld J.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
47. Tammela J.
78. Rautiainen B.
Line 3
8. Viljanen V.
15. Andersson J.
10. Nilsson O.
63. Tuulola J. (A)
16. Noiva N.
82. Tuulola E.
14. Sebok B.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
20. Talaja R.
25. Haapala H.
Line 4
23. Heinila E.
4. Kotajarvi J.
26. Kim A.
41. Nykanen J.
86. Knihti F.
34. Ahonen V.
63. Kostilainen S.
51. Sylvegard E.
Substitutes
39. Lindberg F. (G)
77. Metsola J. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.
. Gronborg R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:05, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
04:26, 1 - 0, Tiivola P. (G), Maatta R. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
15:55, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
15:55, Tuulola E. (2 min),
15:55, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 5)
00:40, 1 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
03:00, Tiivola P. (2 min),
03:53, Nilsson O. (2 min),
04:15, 1 - 2, Tanus K. (G), Rautiainen B. (A),
08:06, 1 - 3, Mattila Je. (G), Haapala H. (A), Rauhala O. (A2)
08:52, 1 - 4, Blichfeld J. (G), Tanus K. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
16:00, 1 - 5, Blichfeld J. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:12, Heinila E. (2 min),
17:25, Nilsson O. (2 min),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
Ässät has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tappara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 56:54. (average 2.8:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 3.4:2.1).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 25.28%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Assat
12
6
1
2
3
30:27
22
9
Tappara
11
5
2
0
4
32:24
19
Last Results with these Odds
Ässät - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.02%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Tappara - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.