Match Info

Liiga

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Wemasto Areena (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Pelicans		Ässät

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.8	2.65
	2.34	3.67	2.84
	2.35	3.44	2.63
	2.43	3.65	2.73	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.33	3.92	2.61	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.52)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	2.68 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans
39.8%

Draw
25.4%

Ässät
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

25.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Pelicans - Ässät Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pelicans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Bartosak P. (G)	30. Bednar J. (G)
84. Nurmi V.	67. Puutio K.
47. Jordan M. (A)	37. Maatta R. (A)
88. Vanderbeck A.	88. Olofsson J.
95. Batna O.	44. Jarvinen J. (C)
10. Karvinen R.	86. Knihti F.
Line 2
4. Johannesen J.	10. Nilsson O.
77. Kayhko O.	3. Anttalainen A.
37. Dudas A.	26. Kim A.
96. Kumpula J.	74. Tiivola P. (A)
91. Vilen E.	93. Vanhatalo L.
Line 3
83. Luhanka E.	55. Riihinen P.
61. Jurgens C. (C)	23. Heinila E.
27. Lind O.	16. Noiva N.
82. Kettunen A.	19. Juhola P.
20. Hirvonen K. (A)	63. Kostilainen S.
Line 4
74. Teutari E.	9. Lipiainen V.
57. Chrons A.	14. Sebok B.
22. Paqvalin J.	20. Talaja R.
Substitutes
1. Emond Z. (G)	35. Lammi P. (G)
39. Kolehmainen E.	18. Ylitalo O.
Coaches
. Kapanen S.	. Pikkarainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:10, 0 - 1, Knihti F. (G), Olofsson J. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:35, Heinila E. (2 min),
02:44, 1 - 1, Karvinen R. (G), Batna O. (A), Vanderbeck A. (A2)
08:46, Batna O. (2 min),
14:27, Tiivola P. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
00:54, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
10:59, Sebok B. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:18, 2 - 1, Dudas A. (G), Nurmi V. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 3.

Pelicans is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ässät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ässät has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Pelicans will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 47:47. (average 2.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 2.8:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Ässät - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
19.12.25	Ässät - Pelicans	1:2 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Pelicans	2:3 ✺
11.12.25	Vaasan Sport - Pelicans	0:4 ✺
05.12.25	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Pelicans - KooKoo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWWL
- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
19.12.25	Ässät - Pelicans	1:2 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Lukko - Ässät	8:3 ✺
12.12.25	Ässät - Lukko	1:5 ✺
09.12.25	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0 ✺
05.12.25	Ässät - Ilves	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
19.12.25	Ässät - Pelicans	1:2 penalties
22.11.25	Pelicans - Ässät	2:0
05.03.25	Pelicans - Ässät	1:3
13.12.24	Ässät - Pelicans	2:0
24.11.24	Ässät - Pelicans	1:3
18.09.24	Pelicans - Ässät	2:5
24.01.24	Ässät - Pelicans	2:1

Pelicans - Ässät: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide