The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara 63%
Draw 18.8%
Ässät 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
20.3%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
20.7%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Tappara - Ässät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
77. Metsola J. (G)
30. Bednar J. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
67. Puutio K. (A)
23. Jokipakka J.
37. Maatta R. (A)
11. Simontaival K.
88. Olofsson J.
20. Keskinen O.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
27. Tanus K.
47. Tammela J.
Line 2
5. Rasanen I.
10. Nilsson O.
26. Mattila Je.
3. Anttalainen A.
88. Blichfeld J.
16. Noiva N.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
14. Sebok B.
78. Rautiainen B.
20. Talaja R.
Line 3
15. Andersson J.
55. Riihinen P.
63. Tuulola J. (A)
23. Heinila E.
82. Tuulola E.
9. Lipiainen V.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
86. Knihti F.
25. Haapala H.
93. Vanhatalo L.
Line 4
4. Kotajarvi J.
8. Viljanen V.
41. Nykanen J.
26. Kim A.
34. Ahonen V.
24. Aijala E.
51. Sylvegard E.
63. Kostilainen S.
Substitutes
30. Heljanko C. (G)
39. Lindberg F. (G)
Coaches
. Gronborg R.
. Pikkarainen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
04:07, 0 - 1, Sebok B. (G), Anttalainen A. (A), Nilsson O. (A2)
11:00, 1 - 1, Blichfeld J. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
12:23, 2 - 1, Tanus K. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Andersson J. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:45, 3 - 1, Keskinen O. (G), Jokipakka J. (A),
07:18, 4 - 1, Ahonen V. (G), Nykanen J. (A), Sylvegard E. (A2)
09:13, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
11:59, 5 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Tanus K. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
12:45, Bednar J. ↓, Lindberg F. ↑,
14:12, Puutio K. (5 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:42, Anttalainen A. (2 min),
07:54, Jarvinen J. (2 min),
14:32, 6 - 1, Nykanen J. (G), Sylvegard E. (A), Mattila Je. (A2)
16:27, 6 - 2, Vanhatalo L. (G), Anttalainen A. (A), Olofsson J. (A2)
17:48, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 2.
Tappara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ässät has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tappara is the team to beat.
We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 50:55. (average 2.5:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 2.8:2.5).
Finland
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Metsola J. (G) 
Bednar J. (G) 
Olofsson J. 
Blichfeld J. 
Sebok B. 
Kim A. 
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