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Current Win Probability
AKM Novomoskovsk 20.6%
Draw 19.8%
Spartak MAX 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
22.1%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
23.6%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM Novomoskovsk's form might have worsened.
Spartak MAX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak MAX's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM Novomoskovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak MAX than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak MAX, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AKM Novomoskovsk - Spartak MAX Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Skryabin N. (G)
70. Midlak Y. (G)
24. Kulikov A.
31. Babkin I.
3. Badikov A.
73. Zhiryakov V. (A)
10. Kazharin I.
78. Murashev Y.
81. Bogatin M.
8. Safronov A.
47. Alalykin L.
15. Kromberg M.
Line 2
69. Rostkov V.
83. Yevplov S.
79. Ponomaryov D.
74. Shokhrin K.
67. Kubankov D.
79. Vuichenko I.
72. Boyarkin G.
64. Pivchulin G.
80. Olikh A.
97. Ogorodnikov Y.
Line 3
58. Putyunin A.
44. Seleznyov D.
12. Grinev L.
33. Cherkashin O.
55. Rulin M.
90. Kachalov Y. (A)
15. Gordyukov A.
21. Belugin I.
71. Krasin D.
96. Perelygin G. (A)
Line 4
39. Kuzmin D.
75. Ustsov D.
74. Biktimirov A.
24. Tatsi M.
45. Degterov D.
18. Anisimov D.
25. Karpachevsky M.
94. Prokhorov I.
43. Kalach M.
Substitutes
1. Khabibulin R. (G)
36. Yegorov Y. (G)
33. Likhachev V.
72. Yermonin M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
16:14, 0 - 1, Murashev Y. (G), Kromberg M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
10:47, 1 - 1, Kazharin I. (G), Boyarkin G. (A),
18:20, 2 - 1, Boyarkin G. (G), Kazharin I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:41, 2 - 2, Murashev Y. (G), Babkin I. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:43, 2 - 3, Perelygin G. (G), Kachalov Y. (A),
Preview
AKM Novomoskovsk is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Spartak MAX's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
AKM Novomoskovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, AKM Novomoskovsk has had a series of home games.
In this match, Spartak MAX is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
Watch
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Skryabin N. (G) 
Yevplov S. 
Degterov D. 
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