The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 42.6%
Draw 24.2%
Dynamo Moscow 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
22.1%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
21.6%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
15.4%
76.9%
Ak Bars Kazan - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo M: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Moscow will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
58. Miller M.
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
96. Lyamkin N.
45. Pylenkov D.
23. Jaskin D.
90. Sikura D.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
91. Weal J. (A)
17. Barabanov A.
97. Gusev N.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)
93. Sergeyev A.
89. Karpukhin I.
33. Claesson F.
14. Denisenko G.
98. Mamin M.
55. Chmelevski A.
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
72. Alistrov V.
9. Slepyshev A.
Line 3
8. Kniazev A.
96. Sharakanov M.
7. Falkovsky S.
44. Adamchuk K.
15. Brovkin A.
84. Artemyev S.
24. Safonov I.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)
10. Biro B.
7. Dzhioshvili M.
Line 4
13. Zamaltdinov R.
75. Patalakha M.
92. Katelevsky D.
41. Gotovets K.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
25. Prokhorov D.
86. Dynyak N.
12. Chernov A.
87. Rimashevsky Y.
Substitutes
1. Berdin M. (G)
99. Motorygin M. (G)
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.
. Kudashov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
02:36, 1 - 0, Miller M. (G), Biro B. (A), Lyamkin N. (A2)
03:03, Miller M. (2 min),
04:32, 1 - 1, Sikura D. (G), Gusev N. (A), Ozhiganov I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
05:12, Karpukhin I. (2 min),
06:19, 1 - 2, Pylenkov D. (G),
07:16, 2 - 2, Miller M. (G), Jaskin D. (A),
11:25, Kniazev A. (2 min),
11:39, 2 - 3, Sikura D. (G), Weal J. (A), Pylenkov D. (A2)
15:18, 2 - 4, Gusev N. (G), Ilyenko A. (A), Artemyev S. (A2)
19:26, 3 - 4, Jaskin D. (G), Lyamkin N. (A), Dynyak N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:44, Weal J. (2 min),
06:28, 4 - 4, Jaskin D. (G), Chmelevski A. (A), Miller M. (A2)
08:12, 5 - 4, Miller M. (G), Jaskin D. (A), Lyamkin N. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Ak Bars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:55. (average 3:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.