The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 62.1%
Draw 20.2%
Lada Togliatti 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
20.3%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
21.8%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ak Bars Kazan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Ak Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lada will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
1. Mishurov A. (G)
96. Lyamkin N. (A)
27. Somerby D.
58. Miller M.
99. Makarov N.
95. Galimov A.
13. Sawchuk R. (A)
94. Semyonov K. (A)
66. Mikhailov N.
14. Denisenko G.
88. Setdikov N. (A)
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)
12. Millman M.
32. Bardin I.
28. Taimazov A.
59. Terekhov S.
10. Chivilyov A.
26. Sokolov Y.
14. King Ben
22. Byvaltsev A.
71. Shakirov R.
Line 3
44. Yevseyev N.
64. Belousov M.
33. Yarullin A.
96. Leontyev V.
92. Katelevsky D.
18. Kugryshev D. (C)
71. Pustozyorov A.
23. Chervonenko V.
55. Chmelevski A.
63. Groshev Y.
Line 4
75. Ivanov A.
47. Morozov Y.
37. Bykov M.
9. Umerov R.
29. Yakupov R.
19. Zinchenko I.
23. Stas A.
83. Belyayev M.
Substitutes
98. Saberzyanov M.
97. Dyadenkin D.
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.
. Zubov P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
02:51, (2 min),
04:53, 0 - 1, Groshev Y. (G), Chervonenko V. (A), Makarov N. (A2)
08:18, Makarov N. (2 min),
08:59, Belyayev M. (2 min),
09:06, 1 - 1, Denisenko G. (G), Stas A. (A),
15:07, Zinchenko I. (2 min),
18:50, Sokolov Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:49, 2 - 1, Katelevsky D. (G), Chmelevski A. (A), Yarullin A. (A2)
11:41, (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:09, 2 - 2, Mikhailov N. (G), Setdikov N. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:35, 3 - 2, Byvaltsev A. (G), Lyamkin N. (A), Denisenko G. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 1.
Ak Bars has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lada has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ak Bars may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ak Bars for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ak Bars has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:50 (averaging 3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ak Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 37:23 goals (averaging 3.4:2.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lada Togliatti - the odds 4.8 are the expected chance of winning is 19.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.