Match Info

KHL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)


	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl		Ak Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.92
	2.36	3.71	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.31)	3.56 ↓ (3.96)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
40.9%

Draw
26.8%

Ak Bars Kazan
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

24.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

23.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)	82. Bilyalov T. (G)
4. Yelesin A. (C)	58. Miller M.
5. Bereglazov A.	96. Lyamkin N.
14. Panik R.	17. Barabanov A.
47. Radulov A. (A)	24. Safonov I.
51. Froese B.	95. Galimov A.
Line 2
87. Rafikov R. (A)	7. Falkovsky S.
99. Sergeyev A.	89. Karpukhin I.
16. Kayumov A.	29. Todd N.
72. Beryozkin M.	55. Chmelevski A.
78. Shalunov M.	94. Semyonov K. (A)
Line 3
28. Gernat M.	28. Terekhov S.
73. Cherepanov N.	53. Marchenko A. (C)
9. Nikolayev I.	11. Fisenko M. (A)
90. Polunin A.	14. Denisenko G.
91. Alexeyev D.	23. Jaskin D.
Line 4
93. Misyul D.	86. Dynyak N.
27. Kuzin A.	92. Katelevsky D.
63. Kraskovsky P.	13. Zamaltdinov R.
70. Surin Y.
Substitutes
1. Borichev D. (G)	71. Pustozyorov A.
7. Kiryanov N.	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
Coaches
. Hartley B.	. Gatiyatulin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
00:11, Panik R. (2 min),
17:35, Polunin A. (2 min),
17:35, Semyonov K. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:35, 1 - 0, Froese B. (G), Panik R. (A), Bereglazov A. (A2)
10:00, 2 - 0, Kiryanov N. (G), Gernat M. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:25, 3 - 0, Froese B. (G), Panik R. (A),
02:25, Bilyalov T. ↓, Arefyev M. ↑,
10:41, Gernat M. (2 min),
15:01, Radulov A. (2 min),
15:54, Denisenko G. (2 min),
16:19, 4 - 0, Kayumov A. (G),
16:25, Falkovsky S. (2 min),
17:46, Alexeyev D. (2 min),
18:00, Kiryanov N. (2 min),
18:27, 4 - 1, Chmelevski A. (G), Galimov A. (A), Todd N. (A2)

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 40:39. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 2.3:1.6).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% Bars Kazan: 6.65%

Last Results with these Odds

Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 33.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
17.05.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	1:5 ✺
11.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW
- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
17.05.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	1:5 ✺
11.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.05.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1
15.05.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4
13.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	1:5
11.05.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	3:1
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	3:1
22.10.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:0
09.11.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1

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