Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Gottardo Arena (Ambri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Ambrì-Piotta		Bern

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.3	2.4	Watch
	2.45	4	2.45
	2.4	4.15	2.42
	2.39	4.28	2.39	Watch
	2.35	4.05	2.35
	2.46	4.24	2.46
	2.37	4.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	4.16 ↓ (4.2)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ambrì-Piotta
38.8%

Draw
22.4%

Bern
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

22.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

24.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bern than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ambrì Piotta - Bern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ambrì-Piotta won 3.

In recent outings, Ambrì-Piotta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bern is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ambrì-Piotta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ambrì-Piotta has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:53 (averaging 2.8:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ambrì-Piotta against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 31:26 goals (averaging 3.1:2.6 per game).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Bern: 7.51% Ambri-Piotta: 1.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Ambri-Piotta	9	4	1	0	4	25:30	14
8	Bern	8	3	0	3	2	25:25	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ambrì-Piotta - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Bern - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ambri-Piotta
Swiss National League Hockey
03.10.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Ambrì-Piotta	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Ambrì-Piotta - SCL Tigers	1:5 ✺
29.09.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Davos	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta	3:5 ✺
25.09.26	Ambrì-Piotta - ZSC Lions	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWL
- SC Bern
Swiss National League Hockey
09.10.26	Bern - Biel	4:2 ✺
03.10.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Bern	4:3 OT ✺
02.10.26	Bern - Genève-Servette	2:3 penalties ✺
29.09.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Bern	5:2 ✺
25.09.26	Bern - Ajoie	2:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
07.03.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	4:1
09.01.26	Bern - Ambrì-Piotta	0:1 penalties
21.10.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	0:5
16.09.25	Bern - Ambrì-Piotta	3:1
27.02.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	4:1
15.01.25	Bern - Ambrì-Piotta	2:4
02.11.24	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	2:3 OT

Ambrì-Piotta - Bern: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide