Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Amur Khabarovsk		Dinamo Riga

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.1	2.8	Watch
	2.15	4	2.9
	2.18	3.8	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.95	2.85
	2.18	3.91	2.97
	2.2	3.75	3
	2.14	4.05	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.19)	3.94 ↓ (4.2)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amur Khabarovsk
43.6%

Draw
24%

Dinamo Riga
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

22.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

17%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Amur Khabarovsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amur Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amur Khabarovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Amur Khabarovsk - Dinamo Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Amur will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dinamo Riga will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amur: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).

Recent matches Amur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dinamo Riga is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Amur have a series of guest games.

Amur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Amur won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 55-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Amur won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amur Khabarovsk
KHL
30.09.21	Amur Khabarovsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:3 OT ✺
27.09.21	Dinamo Minsk - Amur Khabarovsk	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Amur Khabarovsk	4:1 ✺
23.09.21	Kunlun - Amur Khabarovsk	0:2 ✺
21.09.21	SKA Saint Petersburg - Amur Khabarovsk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWL
- Dinamo Riga
KHL
29.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Sochi	2:1 ✺
23.09.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	2:1 OT ✺
21.09.21	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Riga	4:1 ✺
19.09.21	Spartak Moscow - Dinamo Riga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
27.02.21	Dinamo Riga - Amur Khabarovsk	2:3 OT
16.09.20	Amur Khabarovsk - Dinamo Riga	2:1
20.02.20	Amur Khabarovsk - Dinamo Riga	1:2 penalties
16.09.19	Dinamo Riga - Amur Khabarovsk	4:3 OT
16.10.18	Dinamo Riga - Amur Khabarovsk	0:1
17.09.18	Amur Khabarovsk - Dinamo Riga	2:1
18.01.18	Dinamo Riga - Amur Khabarovsk	3:4

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