Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Severstal Cherepovets		Dinamo Riga

	1	X	2
	1.86	4	3.6	Watch
	1.85	4.25	3.5
	1.94	3.85	3.45	Watch
	1.87	4	3.5
	1.85	4.28	3.56
	1.91	4.2	2.75
	1.91	4.05	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.05)	4.09 ↑ (4)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
49.7%

Draw
22.9%

Dinamo Riga
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

23.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

17.5%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Severstal Cherepovets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Dinamo Riga will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Severstal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Severstal won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 62-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Severstal won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
19.10.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:5 OT ✺
13.10.21	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT ✺
11.10.21	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
09.10.21	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL
- Dinamo Riga
KHL
19.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:5 penalties ✺
16.10.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Dinamo Riga	3:4 OT ✺
14.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 ✺
12.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
08.10.21	Sochi - Dinamo Riga	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
29.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	0:2
23.09.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	2:1 OT
29.01.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3
15.01.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	3:2
09.12.20	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	4:2
04.12.20	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	3:4 OT
08.01.20	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties

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