Match Info

Date: 5 November 2021, Friday


	Dinamo Riga		Sochi

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.75	Watch
	2.23	3.95	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3.95	2.75
	2.24	4	2.78
	2.1	4	3
	2.22	4.05	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	2.8 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Riga
42.7%

Draw
23.6%

Sochi
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

18.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Dinamo Riga - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dinamo Riga will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Riga: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12).

Dinamo Riga is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sochi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sochi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Dinamo Riga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 38-62.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Riga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Riga
KHL
31.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Dynamo Moscow	4:1 ✺
27.10.21	Dinamo Riga - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:5 penalties ✺
24.10.21	Jokerit - Dinamo Riga	8:0 ✺
22.10.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	2:0 ✺
19.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLL
- HC Sochi
KHL
03.11.21	Sochi - Kunlun	1:3 ✺
30.10.21	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
28.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	1:3 ✺
26.10.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Sochi	1:3 ✺
23.10.21	Sochi - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.10.21	Sochi - Dinamo Riga	3:2 OT
27.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Sochi	2:1
21.12.20	Dinamo Riga - Sochi	5:6 OT
28.11.20	Sochi - Dinamo Riga	3:2
12.11.20	Dinamo Riga - Sochi	1:3
05.10.20	Sochi - Dinamo Riga	4:2
21.01.20	Dinamo Riga - Sochi	1:2 OT

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