Match Info

Date: 1 December 2021, Wednesday


	Dinamo Riga		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	2.11	Watch
	2.65	4	2.3
	2.95	3.9	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.85	2.11
	3.02	3.94	2.14
	2.62	3.8	2.3
	3.1	3.92	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.5)	3.9 ↑ (3.86)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Riga
32.5%

Draw
24.1%

Severstal Cherepovets
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.5%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

18.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Riga's form might have worsened.

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Severstal Cherepovets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Severstal Cherepovets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	0%	96.6%

Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Dinamo Riga will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Severstal will win (votes: 28 - 96.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 90% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Dinamo Riga has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Severstal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Riga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Dinamo Riga won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 57-64.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Riga won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Riga
KHL
28.11.21	Dinamo Riga - HC CSKA Moscow	2:3 ✺
25.11.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Dinamo Riga	3:2 penalties ✺
23.11.21	Ak Bars Kazan - Dinamo Riga	4:2 ✺
21.11.21	Sochi - Dinamo Riga	1:0 ✺
18.11.21	Dinamo Riga - Ak Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
29.11.21	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	1:3 ✺
27.11.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:1 ✺
24.11.21	Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow	3:0 ✺
22.11.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	1:2 penalties ✺
20.11.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
22.10.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	2:0
29.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	0:2
23.09.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	2:1 OT
29.01.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3
15.01.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	3:2
09.12.20	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	4:2
04.12.20	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	3:4 OT

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