The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amur Khabarovsk 41.9%
Draw 24.4%
Severstal Cherepovets 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
23%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
25.7%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amur Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amur Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amur Khabarovsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Severstal Cherepovets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Amur will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Severstal will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Trushkov A. (G)
29. Samoilov A. (G)
26. Voynov V. (C)
8. Kaldis Y.
23. Machulin V.
32. Gregoire T.
90. Li O. (A)
18. Veryayev D.
56. Kuzmin G.
66. Podshivalov I.
16. Klimovich I.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)
Line 2
93. Vasilevsky A. (A)
2. Grudinin V.
57. Voronkov Y.
54. Churkin A.
13. Pilipenko K.
11. Yan D. (A)
11. Abramov V.
17. Abrosimov R. (C)
10. Likhachyov Y.
71. Popugayev N. A.
Line 3
19. Akmaldinov R.
75. Davydov T.
8. Kostenko D.
78. Chuklinov S.
98. Petkov K.
6. Ivantsov I.
21. Urakov K.
12. Skorenov A.
4. Khrapov F.
79. Artamonov N.
Line 4
2. Dyominsky Y.
77. Fomin M.
25. Borin B.
16. Nikitin V.
77. Shvaryov A.
37. Reingardt I.
34. Lukin K.
42. Tankov K.
12. Filatyev A.
51. Kvochko I.
Substitutes
60. Kobozev V. (G)
30. Skotnikov V. (G)
Coaches
. Andriyevsky A.
. Kozyrev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
17:17, 0 - 1, Ivantsov I. (G), Skorenov A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:58, 0 - 2, Skorenov A. (G), Davydov T. (A),
05:05, 1 - 2, Machulin V. (G), Dyominsky Y. (A), Khrapov F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
14:28, 1 - 3, Popugayev N. A. (G),
19:30, 1 - 4, Yan D. (G), Veryayev D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amur won 0.
In recent outings, Amur has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Severstal has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Amur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Amur has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Amur has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:54 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amur against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:19 goals (averaging 3.1:1.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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Trushkov A. (G) 
Kaldis Y. 
Yan D. (A) 
Skorenov A. 
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