Match Info

AUSTRIA: ICE Hockey League - Round 44

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Hodegart (Asiago)


	Asiago		Fehérvár AV 19

	1	X	2
	5	5.5	1.4
	5.85	5.25	1.4
	5.04	5.33	1.43
	5.72	5.32	1.4	Watch
	5.8	5	1.36
	5.58	5.35	1.41	Watch
	5.65	5.15	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (3.3)	5.27 ↑ (4.2)	1.4 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
16.7%

Draw
17.5%

Fehérvár AV 19
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

22%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

21.8%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Asiago's form might have worsened.

Fehérvár AV 19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fehérvár AV 19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Asiago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fehérvár AV 19 than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fehérvár AV 19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Asiago - Fehérvár AV 19 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Asiago will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Fehérvár will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fehérvár: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Costantini M. (G)	45. Reijola R. (G)
4. Gios G.	51. Campbell T.
11. Vallati G.	43. Gaunce C.
13. Saracino N.	11. Brown C.
21. Gennaro M.	16. Hari J.
14. Ierullo A.	39. Cheek T.
Line 2
89. Rigoni F.	59. Messner J.
57. Cairns M.	5. Stipsicz B.
9. Misley B.	36. Erdely C.
26. Kaspick T.	44. Berger C.
71. Porco N.	14. Sebok B.
Line 3
16. Stevan M.	7. Stajnoch M.
17. Casetti L.	21. Falus A.
95. Magnabosco M.	34. Terbocs I.
19. Rigoni F.	26. Kulmala R.
40. Zampieri S.	82. Magosi B.
Line 4
	47. Ambrus C.
	93. Mihaly A.
	13. Nemeth K.
	87. Ambrus G.
Substitutes
53. Benetti S.	35. Horvath D. (G)
36. Kaarlehto K. (G)
54. Marcazzan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
01:45, 1 - 0, Cairns M. (G), Gennaro M. (A), Saracino N. (A2)
02:17, 2 - 0, Porco N. (G), Vallati G. (A), Misley B. (A2)
14:37, 2 - 1, Cheek T. (G), Campbell T. (A),
15:13, 2 - 2, Gaunce C. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:49, 3 - 2, Cairns M. (G), Kaspick T. (A), Misley B. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asiago won 0.

Asiago is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fehérvár is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Fehérvár is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Asiago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 29:57 (average 2.1:4.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Asiago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:18 (average 2.7:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Fehérvár AV 19 - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.04%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
19.01.25	Graz 99ers - Asiago	8:3 ✺
17.01.25	Asiago - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:1 ✺
12.01.25	Asiago - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
10.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	4:2 ✺
08.01.25	Asiago - TWK Innsbruck	2:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL
- SAPA Fehervar AV 19
Austrian Ice Hockey League
18.01.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - TWK Innsbruck	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Pioneers Vorarlberg	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Fehérvár AV 19	5:0 ✺
10.01.25	Graz 99ers - Fehérvár AV 19	2:5 ✺
08.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Fehérvár AV 19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
08.12.24	Fehérvár AV 19 - Asiago	4:3 OT
01.11.24	Asiago - Fehérvár AV 19	3:5
12.10.24	Fehérvár AV 19 - Asiago	3:1
20.01.24	Asiago - Fehérvár AV 19	3:4
08.12.23	Fehérvár AV 19 - Asiago	4:2
18.11.23	Fehérvár AV 19 - Asiago	10:2
15.09.23	Asiago - Fehérvár AV 19	0:3

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