The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Graz 99ers 65.2%
Draw 17%
Asiago 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
21.8%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
21.5%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Graz 99ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Graz 99ers's performance.
Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asiago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Graz 99ers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asiago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
Graz 99ers - Asiago Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Graz will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Asiago will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Graz: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
37. Gunnarsson J. (G)
37. Fazio J. (G)
4. Holzer K.
89. Rigoni F.
5. Pfeffer J.
57. Cairns M.
77. Gooch T.
98. Turnbull C.
12. Vela M.
61. Gennaro M.
17. Ganahl M.
14. Ierullo A.
Line 2
3. Hora F.
4. Gios G.
20. Brunner N.
11. Vallati G.
52. Huber P.
13. Saracino N.
24. Ticar R.
26. Kaspick T.
21. Haudum L.
9. Misley B.
Line 3
7. Bailen N.
16. Stevan M.
9. Oligny J.
17. Casetti L.
25. Bailey C.
95. Magnabosco M.
13. Schiechl M.
19. Rigoni F.
23. Roy K.
71. Porco N.
Line 4
28. Moosbrugger L.
65. Kernberger M.
40. Harnisch T.
19. Kainz L.
76. Antonitsch S.
Substitutes
30. Wieser N. (G)
31. Kaarlehto K. (G)
54. Marcazzan G.
40. Zampieri S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
04:31, 0 - 1, Gennaro M. (G), Ierullo A. (A), Turnbull C. (A2)
06:42, 1 - 1, Ticar R. (G), Haudum L. (A), Hora F. (A2)
07:46, 2 - 1, Bailen N. (G), Oligny J. (A), Roy K. (A2)
16:26, 3 - 1, Huber P. (G), Roy K. (A), Hora F. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:42, 3 - 2, Turnbull C. (G), Ierullo A. (A), Rigoni F. (A2)
04:18, 4 - 2, Bailey C. (G), Bailen N. (A), Haudum L. (A2)
08:15, 4 - 3, Ierullo A. (G), Gennaro M. (A),
10:30, 5 - 3, Gooch T. (G), Vela M. (A), Ganahl M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:05, 6 - 3, Gooch T. (G), Bailey C. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
06:26, 7 - 3, Ticar R. (G), Haudum L. (A),
19:19, 8 - 3, Holzer K. (G), Antonitsch S. (A), Kainz L. (A2)
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Graz won 2.
Recent matches Graz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Asiago is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Asiago could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Graz is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Graz to win the game is with odds 1.67.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Graz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:32 (average 2.5:2.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Graz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 2:3).
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Gunnarsson J. (G) 
Fazio J. (G) 
Holzer K. 
Pfeffer J. 
Cairns M. 
Gooch T. 
Ticar R. 
Kaarlehto K. (G) 
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